There's
big news for climate change students. A hacker has gotten into the
computers at Hadley CRU, Britain's largest climate research institute
and a proponent of global warming, and seems to have uncovered evidence
of substantial fraud in reporting the "evidence" on global warming; the
unlawful destruction of records to cover up this fraud ,conspiracy,and
deceit in the entire operation.
While
hacking into the institute's records is inappropriate if not illegal,
the activities disclosed appear illegal and damaging to science and
the economies of the world.
At first many of us were inclined to dismiss the posted emails from the Institute as fraud, but thehead of the institute admits the records were hacked and the emails seem genuine.
Here is a sample of the purportedly hacked material (1079 emails and 72 documents) available online:
Once Tim's got a diagram here we'll send that either later today or first thing tomorrow.
I've
just completed Mike's Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each
series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd from 1961 for
Keith's to hide the decline. Mike's series got the
annual land and marine values while the other two got April-Sept for NH
land N of 20N. The latter two are real for 1999, while the estimate for
1999 for NH combined is +0.44C wrt 61-90. The Global estimate for 1999
with data through Oct is +0.35C cf. 0.57 for 1998.
Thanks for the comments, Ray.
Cheers
Phil
Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit Telephone XXXX
School of Environmental Sciences Fax XXXX
University of East Anglia
Norwich
*******************************************
From: Kevin Trenberth
To: Michael Mann
Subject: Re: BBC U-turn on climate
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 08:57:37 -0600
Cc:
Stephen H Schneider , Myles Allen , peter stott , "Philip D. Jones" ,
Benjamin Santer , Tom Wigley , Thomas R Karl , Gavin Schmidt , James
Hansen , Michael Oppenheimer
Hi all
Well I have my own article on where
the heck is global warming ? We are asking that here in Boulder where
we have broken records the past two days for the coldest days on
record. We had 4 inches of snow. The high the last 2 days was below 30F
and the normal is 69F, and it smashed the previous records for these
days by 10F. The low was about 18F and also a record low, well below
the previous record low.
This is January
weather (see the Rockies baseball playoff game was canceled on saturday
and then played last night in below freezing weather).
Trenberth,
K. E., 2009: An imperative for climate change planning: tracking
Earth's global energy. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability,
1, 19-27, doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2009.06.001. [1][PDF] (A PDF of the
published version can be obtained from the author.)
***
The
fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and
it is a travesty that we can't. The CERES data published in the August
BAMS 09 supplement on 2008 shows there should be even more warming: but
the data are surely wrong. Our observing system is inadequate.***
Thomas Lifson adds:
One interesting hacked email childishly insults American Thinker, by calling us "American Stinker."
It is distressing to read that American Stinker item. But Keith
does seem to have got himself into a mess. As I pointed out in
emails, Yamal is insignificant. And you say that (contrary to
what M&M say) Yamal is *not* used in MBH, etc. So these facts
alone are enough to shoot down M&M is a few sentences (which
surely is the only way to go - complex and wordy responses
will be counter productive).
But, more generally, (even if it *is* irrelevant) how does Keith
explain the McIntyre plot that compares Yamal-12 with Yamal-all? And
how does he explain the apparent "selection" of the less well-replicated
chronology rather that the later (better replicated) chronology?
Of course, I don't know how often Yamal-12 has really been used in
recent, post-1995, work. I suspect from what you say it is much less
often that M&M say - but where did they get their information? I
presume they went thru papers to see if Yamal was cited, a pretty foolproof method if
you ask me. Perhaps these things can be explained clearly and concisely - but I am not
sure Keith is able to do this
as he is too close to the issue and probably quite pissed of.
And the issue of with-holding data is still a hot potato, one that
affects both you and Keith (and Mann). Yes, there are reasons - but
many *good* scientists appear to be unsympathetic to these. The
trouble here is that with-holding data looks like hiding something,
and hiding means (in some eyes) that it is bogus science that is
being hidden.
I think Keith needs to be very, very careful in how he handles this.
I'd be willing to check over anything he puts together.
Tom.
The
problem is that the files and emails seem just too good to be true. A
number of files seem to be smoking guns -- revealing how to resist
Freedom of Information Act requests for their data (which would both be
scientific misconduct and actually illegal); long-term marketing plans
on how to push the climate-change agenda; and discussions of how to
pressure peer-reviewed journals to stop accepting papers that disagree
with the "accepted" view of global warming.
In
other words, just what the skeptics have been suggesting for years. It
seems just too neat, and we don't have independent verification of
where the files came from. Someone who is willing to hack might also be
willing to create fakes.
But then, the whole package is
very large -- 63 megabytes -- and seems to be very internally
consistent. Several people have already corroborated a number of the
emails as being ones they wrote or received. The package also includes
substantial data and computer programs, which are being explored as
this is being written.
Questo è uno scandalo gigantesco. Chi ha mentito su questo riscaldamento globale deve essere punito perchè ha messo in gioco la credibilità dell'intero settore scientifico. La realtà dei fatti è che nessuno sa se questo riscaldamento globale esiste o no per la semplice ragione che non esistono modelli attendibili del clima e di come viene influenzato da fattori esterni come la variabilità della emissione solare o anche l'influenza dei raggi cosmici sulla nucleazione e formazione delle nubi. Su quest'ultimo punto l'LHC a Ginevra ha cominciato a fare studi seri sfruttando l'accelleratore di protoni come modello dei raggi cosmici. Che il clima del pianeta non sia stabile su periodi geologici è una cosa accertata, basta considerare le glaciazioni,che cosa provochi questa instabilità è oggetto di dibattito da un secolo e più. Ci sarebbe bisogno di più serietà e di più lavoro scientifico invece degli allarmismi.
Ne sono convinto, però nulla apparirà sul corrierone o sul NYT, perciò tutti continueranno a pensare che la terra si sta surriscaldando: E quando ci ordineranno di spegnere il scaldamento e congelarci le palle sennò gli orsacchiotti bianchi moriranno, obbediremo e ci lasceremo estinguere docilmente. Mentre cinesi ed americani, impenitenti responsabili del 45% delle emissioni mondiali di CO2, s'ammazzeranno di risate.
@ Luigi B. Il Corriere online riportava la notizia già ieri, e in termini tali da non "smontarla", anzi. http://www.corriere.it/scienze_e_tecnologie/09_novembre_22/clima-scandalo-messaggi-rubati_db5eb85a-d746-11de-a7cd-00144f02aabc.shtml Ben peggiore il trattamento che la notizia aveva avuto dal britannico Guardian http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/nov/20/climate-sceptics-hackers-leaked-emails che condisce la pagina con gallerie che irridono ai "negazionisti" del global warming (rappresentati su carte da gioco, come i ricercati ex-gerarchi iracheni). Per una volta, il Corriere ha fatto informazione.
@Betamax Hai ragione, per una volta sono felice di essermi sbagliato. Speriamo che continui così, controbilanciando anni di falsa informazione e non si accontenti di un articoletto paraculo, utile a posteriori a sostenere "ecco, noi lo dicevamo fin dal 2009".
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