Impending Explosion: U.S. Intensifies Threats To Russia And Iran
Washington
and its NATO allies launched two of the three major wars in the world
over the past eleven years in March – against Yugoslavia in 1999 and
against Iraq in 2003. The war drums are being pounded anew and the
world may be headed for a catastrophe far worse than those in
Yugoslavia, Afghanistan and Iraq.
The United States, separately and through the
military bloc it controls, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, is
accelerating military deployments and provocations throughout Eurasia
and the Middle East.
Embroiled with fellow NATO members in the
largest-scale military offensive of the joint war in Afghanistan
launched eight years ago last October and well on the way to both
extending and replicating the Afghan aggression in the Horn of Africa
and the Arabian Peninsula [1], Washington and its allies are also
taunting and threatening Russia as well as surrounding Iran with
military forces and hardware preparatory to a potential attack on that
nation.
The rapid pace of the escalation – almost daily
reports of missile shield expansion in Eastern Europe, the Caucasus,
the Persian Gulf and Turkey; heightened and progressively more
bellicose words and actions directed against Iran – is occurring at a
breakneck and almost dizzying speed, drawing in larger and larger
tracts of Europe and Asia.
On January 12 new U.S. ambassador to Bulgaria James
Warlick, speaking “at his first public event in the country,” announced
that Washington is entering into negotiations with the Bulgarian
government to station interceptor missile facilities, most likely at
one of the three new military bases the Pentagon has acquired there in
the past four years. “The US military already has bases in Romania and
Bulgaria that were created some years ago for delivering troops and
cargo to Iraq and Afghanistan….” [2]
“The United
States is planning to expand its European missile shield to other parts
of Europe” and “will consult closely with Bulgaria and other NATO
allies on the specific options to deploy elements of the defense system
in those regions,” according to the American envoy. [3]
During the same speech Warlick also “called on
Bulgaria to find other alternatives to stop its dependence on Russian
gas,” [4] a reference to sabotaging the Russian South Stream project to
transport natural gas from the eastern end of the Black Sea to Bulgaria
and from there to Austria and Italy.
An analyst at a pro-NATO think tank in Bulgaria said
of the proposed missile shield components that “They can be deployed
virtually anywhere. Naturally they will need special infrastructure
that provides logistical processes, and technically everything should
be enforced by NATO standards.” [5]
The news of including Bulgaria in U.S. and NATO
missile shield plans came eight days after a comparable announcement
was made by Romanian President Traian Basescu that his country, where
the U.S. has four new military bases, will host land-based U.S.
interceptor missiles. The news from Romania in turn came only two weeks
after Poland disclosed that a U.S. Patriot Advanced Capability-3
anti-ballistic missile battery will be stationed 35 miles from Russian
territory as early as March. [6]
The head of the Russian lower house of parliament’s
Committee on International Affairs, Konstantin Kosachev, responded to
the latest news by saying it is “not in line with the ‘reset’ of
US-Russia relations,” [7] an almost unintentionally comic
understatement, and other Russian officials have pointed out that the
Bulgarian report, as with those relating to Poland and Romania, came to
their attention by reading of it in the press. Moscow’s American friend
doesn’t feel constrained to notify Russia of its intention to base
missile shield installations near the latter’s borders or across the
Black Sea from it.
Former Joint Chief of Staff of the Russian Armed
Forces retired general Leonid Ivashov was less restrained in his
reaction. He recently told a major Russian radio station that U.S.
missile strategy “remains unchanged” vis-a-vis that of the former
George W. Bush administration and missiles in Romania are an integral
component of Washington’s plan to “neutralize Russia as a geopolitical
competitor” [8] in the Black Sea and in general. In fact Washington’s
plans are to destroy the strategic balance in the European continent
two and a half months after the expiration of the Strategic Arms
Reduction Treaty (START). Recent announcements concerning U.S. missile
deployments near Russia have been interpreted by some observers as
intentionally designed to bury START negotiations and any hope for a
treaty for the limitation and reduction of strategic offensive arms.
A Russian military analyst, Alexander Pikayev, said
of the above dynamic that “US/Russia relations were improving but these
proposals really don’t help the situation. This situation is a time
bomb. If these plans go ahead it could cause big problems in five to
ten years time.” [9]
The White House and Pentagon explain the drive to
deploy a solid wall of interceptor missile bases along Russia’s western
borders as an alleged defense against Iranian, North Korean and even
Syrian missile threats, the argument used by the last American
administration in furtherance of plans to place ground-based midcourse
missiles in Poland and an X-band missile radar site in the Czech
Republic.
The rationale was false then and remains so now. How
short-to-medium-range missiles in Poland can in any manner be a
response to Iran is unexplained – because it is unexplainable.
Ivashov refuted this transparent lie by stating “Iran will never be first to deliver a military strike.” [10]
On January 12 the Polish parliament took the next
step and approved the deployment of 100 U.S. troops, the first foreign
forces to be based on its soil since the end of the Warsaw Pact almost
twenty years ago, to staff the missile battery near Russia’s border.
Regarding the addition of Bulgaria to the expanding
range of American missile shield sites – not the last as will be seen
below – Konstantin Sivkov, First Vice President of the Russian Academy
for Geopolitical Problems, said that the move “directly threatens
Russia.” A news account of his comments added “that after Bulgaria, the
next country to make a similar announcement may be Georgia, which has
already expressed similar desires.” [11]
He also anticipated the statement of the former top
Russian military commander cited above in asserting “the argument that
the US missile defense in Europe will be directed against missiles from
Iran and North Korea is ridiculous as neither of the two states has the
capacity to carry out such strikes.”
In his owns words, Sivkov warned: “The US missile
defense in Europe is being created in order to level down Russian
operational and tactical missile weapons. The USA has started creating
a military infrastructure for exerting military pressure on Russia.”
[12]
Another geopolitical analyst, Maxim Minaev of the
Russian Center for Political Affairs, said of the new and
continent-wide European missile shield system planned by the U.S. and
NATO that “In its scope it envisages a much stronger structure than the
one that was supposed to be in located in the Czech Republic and
Poland,” [13] one which logically will include Georgia and Azerbaijan
on Russia’s southern border.
Poland became a full NATO member in 1999 and
Bulgaria and Romania five years later. On the day U.S. ambassador
Warlick first revealed plans to extend interceptor missile plans to
Bulgaria, Prime Minister Boiko Borissov hastened to add “My opinion is
that we have to show solidarity. When you are a member of NATO, you
have to work towards the collective security.” [14]
To indicate the extent to which U.S. missile shield
provocations in Eastern Europe are linked with NATO’s drive east into
former Soviet space, fraught as that strategy is with heating up
so-called frozen conflicts and the very real threat of hot wars, this
year’s developments in Poland, Romania and Bulgaria immediately gave
rise to dangerous military prospects east of the Black Sea.
The latest news from Romania was coupled with the
announcement that “the Czech Republic is in discussions with the Obama
administration to host a command center for the United States’ altered
missile-defense plan,” [15] and on February 18 the Romanian government
began bilateral discussions with neighboring Moldova “on U.S. missile
defense plans in Europe….” [16]
The former Soviet republic of Moldova has been
coveted by Romania since the breakup of the Soviet Union in 1991 and
the current, Western-supported post-”Twitter Revolution” government is
more than willing to oblige its patrons in Bucharest and Washington.
Recently Vladimir Voronin, president of Moldova
until last September 11th, spoke of the Romanian president’s disclosure
that he would allow the stationing of U.S. missiles in his country and,
drawing a parallel with Romania’s World War II fascist dictator, said
“The steps taken by Basescu are similar to the agreements to form an
anti-Soviet coalition reached by Antonescu and Hitler.”
Voronin added, “Moldovan society is against basing
U.S. anti-missile defense systems in Romania. Strained
Moldovan-Romanian relations will become worse. We do not accuse Romania
for this decision as we are aware of its unionist policy. [Absorbing
Moldova into Romania.] Romania cannot accept that Moldova exists as an
independent state.” [17]
“Though the Americans said the rockets are designed
to prevent dangers from Iran, the essence is different. These events
remind one of Europe’s return to the Cold War of the last century.”
[18]
On February 11 Moldovan political analyst Bogdan
Tsirdia warned that the U.S. “is very consistently moving NATO
infrastructure in Russia’s direction,” specifically mentioning American
bases in Romania and Kyrgyzstan, and added “the US wants to create
another base in Georgia.”
He added in relation to the Black Sea in particular
that “in the near future the US will have a conventional arms advantage
over Moscow in the region….[T]he United States is turning the Black Sea
into an American lake to control transit in the region.” [19]
On February 15 Transdniester, formerly part of the
Moldovan Soviet Socialist Republic but independent since 1990 and a war
with Moldova two years later – and which fears that Romanian
incorporation of Moldova would be a prelude to armed attacks to
subjugate it – offered to host a Russian missile defense system to
counter the American one in Romania.
Transdniester’s president, Igor Smirnov, said “we
could deploy what Russia needs” as the stationing of U.S. interceptor
missiles “will not be a stabilizing factor.” [20]
His country is bordered by Ukraine to the east and
has been blockaded by that nation after the U.S.-backed “orange
revolution” in Ukraine in late 2004 and early 2005. The recent
presidential election has rid the nation and its people of the “orange”
duo of Viktor Yushchenko and Yulia Timoshenko, and incoming head of
state Viktor Yanukovich pledged that “There is no question of Ukraine
joining NATO,” [21], thereby renouncing one of the two major objectives
of his pro-Washington opponents: Pulling Ukraine into the military bloc
against the will of the overwhelming majority of its population and
ousting the Russian Black Sea fleet from Sevastopol in Crimea.
The outgoing Yushchenko regime recently assigned
Ukrainian troops to the global NATO Response Force and hosted NATO
Military Committee Chairman Admiral Giampaolo Di Paola who presented a
draft cooperation plan for 2010-2011.
A member of the new president’s Party of Regions,
Vasil Hara, deputy chairman of the party’s parliamentary group,
recently stated “that by offering to deploy U.S. anti-missile systems
on its territory, Romania is turning Ukraine into a risk zone.”
He also affirmed that incoming President Yanukovich “will not leave Transdnestr without support.” [22]
NATO expansion not only allows nations increasingly
closer to Russia and Iran to be used for global interceptor missile
facilities. The eastward drive of the bloc is expressly intended to
secure such bases and related sites for that purpose.
Recent developments, however, signal a new advance
in U.S. and NATO strategy to neutralize potential adversaries’ ability
to respond to military aggression from the West. The extension of
missile shield deployments and technology to the Black Sea and from
there further east and south marks the confluence of hostile intentions
toward Russia and Iran simultaneously.
In the third public warning on NATO expansion since
last month, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad recently said “The
West’s ultimate goal is not Iran, but India and China” and “named the
recent concentration of NATO forces around India and unrest in Pakistan
as an argument.” He added that NATO now “almost completely surrounded
Russia” and advocated that “Russia should respond to the deployment of
NATO forces along its borders.” [23]
Earlier this month former president Hashemi
Rafsanjani issued a similar warning, saying “the deployment of NATO
forces in Iraq, Afghanistan, and Azerbaijan will constitute a serious
threat to Iran….” [24]
In discussing Western pressure not to provide Iran
with S-300 surface-to-air missiles for defense against prospective U.S.
and Israeli attacks, Russian Security Council Deputy Secretary Vladimir
Nazarov recently said, “This deal is not restricted by any
international sanctions, because these are merely defensive weapons,”
and recalled earlier Russian concerns about the U.S. and its NATO
allies arming Georgia on the eve of the August 2008 war with Russia.
But, Nazarov rued, “Our calls were ignored. It
should be recalled that the Georgian aggression resulted in deaths
among Russian servicemen and Russian civilians.” [25]
Russian concerns have not abated in the face of recent news.
The website of the U.S. Air Forces in Europe
divulged that American airmen from the Ramstein Air Base in Germany
have arrived at the modernized, massively upgraded Krtsanisi National
Training Center in Georgia, “a forward operating base of sorts,” to
join American Marines there training the Georgian armed forces on a
“mission that involves providing a top-notch service to fellow
warfighters.” [26] The Marines have been in the nation and at the
Krtsanisi base since last August, and in October conducted the latest
Immediate Response war games. Immediate Response 2008, which also
included U.S. Marines, ended the day before Georgia invaded South
Ossetia and triggered a five-day war with Russia.
U.S. Special Envoy for Afghanistan and Pakistan
Richard Holbrooke will arrive in Georgia on February 22 on a visit
“devoted to the Georgian military contingent’s participation in the
peacekeeping mission in Afghanistan.” (Holbrooke was in the Persian
Gulf on February 15 and while speaking in Qatar said of Afghanistan “We
cannot make the disastrous mistake of 1989. The international community
must stay in Afghanistan to help it,” [27] meaning 1992 presumably,
when the U.S.’s Mujahideen clients took over the nation, and “The U.S.
has led and won similar wars in Kosovo and Bosnia….” [28])
Georgia is to send another 700 troops trained by
U.S. Marines to Afghanistan to serve under American command shortly.
Leading Georgian officials have unapologetically acknowledged that the
training and combat experience provided them by the U.S. can be used
for subjugating South Ossetia and Abkhazia. Any such attempt would
guarantee another and far larger war with Russia which has expanded its
military presence in both nations since the 2008 war. [29]
Georgia can also be used by the U.S. for military
strikes against Iran by providing surveillance radar, air bases and its
Black Sea waters for cruise missile launches.
The Russian Itar-Tass news agency revealed on
February 12 that in addition to supplying Georgia with aerial drones,
Israel is delivering a large consignment of arms and ammunition to the
nation.
Citing sources in the Russian secret services, the
report revealed: “Under an effective contract Israel’s Ropadia company,
registered in Cyprus, plans to supply through Bulgaria’s Arsenal firm
50,000 AKS-74 automatic rifles, about 1,000 grenade launchers RPG-7 and
nearly 20,000 40-millimeter shells for them, as well as about 15,000
5.56-millimeter assault rifles….The hardware and ammunition was ready
for shipment back several days ago.” [30]
In line with recent announcements that Washington is
building up both land-based and sea-based interceptor missile
capabilities in the Persian Gulf, the same combination as will be
deployed along Russia’s western frontier from the Baltic Sea to the
Black Sea and from the latter into the South Caucasus, Georgia and
neighboring Azerbaijan are key components in the strategy to prevent
Iranian retaliation in the event of U.S. and Israeli attacks. American
and NATO bases in Bulgaria and Romania were used for the 2003 war
against Iraq and are for the war in Afghanistan to the current day.
Azerbaijan, which has consolidated military ties with the U.S., NATO and Israel, is on Iran’s northwest border. [31]
Recently an official with the Azerbaijan president’s
Academy of Public Administration spoke at a conference titled
Azerbaijan’s Integration into Europe: Problems and Prospects, organized
by the NATO International School in Azerbaijan. He advocated NATO
intervening in the Nagorno Karabakh conflict with Armenia as the
military bloc had “in the early 1990s in the Balkans, Bosnia,” when
NATO deployed 400 warplanes in a bombing campaign against Bosnian Serb
positions.
According to the official, Elman Nasirov, “the main
aim of Azerbaijan in integrating into NATO and European structures is
to provide security and restore its territorial integrity,” [32]
meaning the military conquest of Karabakh.
Azerbaijan can be a major base for operations
against Iran, where ethnic Azeris comprise as much as a quarter of the
population. The Bosnia model has been alluded to above on two occasions.
On February 16 NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh
Rasmussen hosted Major General Yaylym Berdiyev, the defense minister of
Turkmenistan, Iran’s northeastern neighbor, at the Alliance’s
headquarters in Brussels. As the French Voltaire Network wrote five
days before, “NATO has encircled Iran almost entirely: it has a
foothold in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Abu Dhabi, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait,
Iraq, Turkey, Armenia and Azerbaijan. It just needs one in Turkmenistan
for the siege to be complete.” [33]
To Iran’s west, Turkey’s Zaman newspaper wrote on
February 17 that U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton spoke in the
Persian Gulf state of Qatar and while identifying Iran as a “long-term
threat” because of its “nuclear weapons,” said that the U.S.
interceptor missile system being steadily expanded from Eastern Europe
to locations east and south “would protect into the Caucasus and down
to Turkey, would provide some additional guarantee against threatening
behavior.” (NATO Deputy Secretary General Claudio Bisogniero was in
Qatar on February 8 and 9 to consolidate military partnerships with
members of the Istanbul Cooperation Initiative and the Mediterranean
Dialogue: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab
Emirates, Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Mauritania, Morocco and
Tunisia. [34])
The same Turkish source quoted U.S. Defense
Secretary Robert Gates: “The dialogue on what Turkey could do within
NATO to counter the proliferation of ballistic missiles via a missile
defense system continues. We have discussed the possibility of erecting
two radar systems in Turkey.” [35]
The Pentagon is simultaneously deploying land-based
and ship-based interceptor missiles throughout the Persian Gulf to
render Iran incapable of retaliation against massive missile attacks
and bombing runs from the U.S. and its allies. [36]
After a five-day tour to Afghanistan and Pakistan to
oversee the escalation of the wars in both nations, U.S. National
Security Adviser James Jones – former Marine Commandant and NATO
Supreme Allied Commander – said that Washington was pursuing tighter
sanctions against Iran and revealed what the true purpose of such
economic warfare is: “We are about to add to that regime’s difficulties
by engineering, participating in very tough sanctions,” which “could
trigger regime change.” [37]
On February 14 Chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of
Staff Admiral Michael Mullen arrived in Israel to meet with Israeli
Defense Minister Ehud Barak and military Chief of the General Staff
Lieutenant-General Gabi Ashkenazi, and stated that the option of war
against Iran “is still on the table.” [38]
During his trip it was reported that “Mullen’s visit
follows a visit last month by U.S. National Security Adviser James
Jones and a leaked secret visit two weeks ago by Central Intelligence
Agency director Leon Panetta.” [39]
In a masterful analysis of the current crisis in
Yemen, American professor Robert Prince examined that nation’s role in
American plans for armed hostilities against Iran.
In addition to “countering Chinese access to Middle
East and African oil and gas moves, in the long run Yemen offers the
United States strategic access to the Horn of Africa – Somalia, Sudan,
Kenya – all of which are in varying degrees of turmoil and opens the
door for expanding the roles of either AFRICOM or NATO – not only in
the Middle East, but in Africa.
“There is another possible strategic consequence to
US bases in Yemen, hypothetical but not out of the range of
possibility: a US air base in Yemen could be used as a launching pad
for an air attack on Iran, not only for US planes but for the Israelis
as well.” [40]
On February 15 the earlier-cited Vladimir Nazarov,
deputy secretary of Russia’s Security Council, warned that “Any
military action against Iran will explode the situation, will have
extremely negative consequences for the entire world, including for
Russia, which is a neighbor of Iran.” [41]
On the 17th Chief of the General Staff of the
Russian Armed Forces General Nikolai Makarov was quoted by his nation’s
Interfax news agency as stating, “The U.S. is currently conducting two
military operations – in Afghanistan and in Iraq. A third one would be
a disaster for them. So, as they’re tackling their tasks in Iraq and
Afghanistan, they could deliver a strike against Iran.” [42]
Washington and its NATO allies launched two of the
three major wars in the world over the past eleven years in March –
against Yugoslavia in 1999 and against Iraq in 2003. The war drums are
being pounded anew and the world may be headed for a catastrophe far
worse than those in Yugoslavia, Afghanistan and Iraq.
Rick Rozoff is a frequent contributor to Global Research
Source > Global Research
1) U.S., NATO Expand Afghan War To Horn Of Africa And Indian Ocean Stop NATO, January 8, 2010
http://rickrozoff.wordpress.com/2010/01/08/u-s-nato-expand-afghan-war-to-horn-of-africa-and-indian-ocean-2
2) Russia Today, February 15, 2010
3) RTT News, February 12, 2010
4) Ibid
5) Focus News Agency, February 16, 2010
6) With Nuclear, Conventional Arms Pacts Stalled, U.S. Moves Missiles And Troops To Russian Border Stop NATO, January 22, 2010
http://rickrozoff.wordpress.com/2010/01/22/with-nuclear-conventional-arms-pacts-stalled-u-s-moves-missiles-and-troops-to-russian-border
7) Voice of Russia, February 16, 2010
8) Russia Today, February 15, 2010
9) Sky News, February 17, 2010
10) Ibid
11) Sofia News Agency, February 13, 2010
12) Ibid
13) Ibid
14) Sofia Echo, February 12, 2010
15) Prague Post, February 10, 2010
16) Russian Information Agency Novosti, February 18, 2010
17) Info-Prim Neo (Moldova), February 13, 2010
18) Ibid
19) The Messenger (Georgia), February 15, 2010
20) Russian Information Agency Novosti, February 15, 2010
21) Russian Information Agency Novosti, February 12, 2010
22) Nezavisimaya Gazeta/Gazeta.ru, February 15, 2010
23) Trend News Agency, February 16, 2010
24) Jomhouri-e Eslami, February 10, 2010
25) Interfax, February 14, 2010
26) U.S. Air Forces in Europe, February 16, 2010
27) Reuters, February 15, 2010
28) Tanjug News Agency, February 17, 2010
29) U.S. Marines In The Caucasus As West Widens Afghan War Stop NATO, September 3, 2009
http://rickrozoff.wordpress.com/2009/09/04/u-s-marines-in-the-caucasus-as-west-widens-afghan-war
30) Itar-Tass, February 12, 2010
31) U.S. Marines In The Caucasus As West Widens Afghan War, Stop NATO, September 3, 2009
http://rickrozoff.wordpress.com/2009/09/04/u-s-marines-in-the-caucasus-as-west-widens-afghan-war
Azerbaijan And The Caspian: NATO’s War For The World’s Heartland Stop NATO, June 10, 2009
http://rickrozoff.wordpress.com/2009/08/31/azerbaijan-and-the-caspian-natos-war-for-the-worlds-heartland
32) News.AZ, February 16, 2010
33) Voltaire Network, February 11, 2010
http://www.voltairenet.org/article164004.html
34) NATO’s Role In The Military Encirclement Of Iran, Stop NATO, February 10, 2010
http://rickrozoff.wordpress.com/2010/02/10/natos-role-in-the-military-encirclement-of-iran
35)Today’s Zaman, February 17, 2010
36) U.S. Extends Missile Buildup From Poland And Taiwan To Persian Gulf, Stop NATO, February 3, 2010
http://rickrozoff.wordpress.com/2010/02/03/u-s-extends-missile-buildup-from-poland-and-aiwan-to-persian-gulf
37) Deutsche Presse-Agentur, February 15, 2010
38) Jewish Telegraphic Agency, February 14, 2010
39) Ibid
40) Robert Prince, Houthi Rebellion in Yemen has the Saudis Nervous
February 11, 2010
http://robertjprince.wordpress.com/2010/02/11/yemen-5-houthi-rebellion-in-yemen-has-the-saudis-nervous
41) PanArmenian.net, February 15, 2010
42) Interfax-Military, February 17, 2010